It's the dry season in Gulf Coast states from Texas to Florida.
And that means a mounting risk of wildfire.
In Florida, indications are that the state may face an early
start to the wildfire season, according to Orlando TV station WOFL
FOX 35 (“
Wildfire
season set to scorch Central Florida
,” by Steve
Gehlbach). Forecasters at the National Weather Service’s
Melbourne, Florida, office say the state is several months into an
extended drought already, with dry conditions that are more typical
of later in the year. Already firefighters have had to contend with
a 13,000-acre brush fire in Brevard County, the station
reports.
A series of winter freezes that killed grass and other
vegetation have created an abundance of dry fire fuel in wild
country, the Tampa Tribune reports (“
Cold,
dry weather jump-starts wildfire season
,” by Neil
Johnson). And on January 7, the Weather Service issued a “red
flag” fire warning for parts of the Florida panhandle because
of dry, windy conditions, the Panama City News Herald reported
(“
Winds
to generate rip currents on the coast, possible wildfire conditions
inland
,” by Tony Simmons).
The dry conditions may be the result of “La Nina”
climate conditions, according to the Florida Division of Forestry
(“
Increased
Fire Danger Predicted for 201: La Niña and Wildfire Activity
in Florida
,” by Sean Luchs, Meteorologist). The state
warned, “This past year was strongly influenced by an El
Niño event, and saw reduced wildfire activity as expected.
Currently, we are experiencing La Niña conditions, and this
La Niña is expected to continue through at least early 2011.
The potential for an abnormally warm and dry winter in Florida
during La Niña episodes could set the stage for greater than
normal wildfire activity in 2011. This potential could be
compounded in areas that are already abnormally dry or experiencing
moderate drought.”
This
interactive online
fire map
from the Florida Division of Forestry
already shows a scattering of incidents, early in the
season.
Texas is also experiencing drought, with an extremely high risk
of wildfire.
The
Texas Forest Service website
advised citizens. The
service’s website warns, “With fuels remaining
critically dry in much of the state, a Type I helicopter and an air
attack aircraft remain in place in Abilene. The U.S. Drought
Monitor indicates that nearly all of the state is in moderate to
extreme drought and the 90-day temperature and precipitation
outlook maps forecast little relief in drought conditions. All
Predictive Service Areas (PSA’s) in the state have Energy
Release Components (ERC’s) at or above the 90th percentile,
with the exception of the High Plains area which has received some
recent moisture.” The Coastal Plains region and the Upper
Gulf Coast are at or above the 97th percentile for wildfire risk,
the agency estimates.